that is, two causes that act together

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jrineakter
Posts: 888
Joined: Thu Jan 02, 2025 7:06 am

that is, two causes that act together

Post by jrineakter »

Well right away, my heuristic bias will look for the cause. It will say: "Ah well it's because I made less content during the launch or it's because it's a period when people are on vacation or it's because the Euro is too strong against the Dollar and therefore people can buy less". My brain will give me reasons like that.

If, on the other hand, the launch was better than usual, I'll say to myself: "Ah well it's because I made a better presentation video, it's because it's the beginning of the year and people want to learn French at the beginning of the year or it's because my YouTube videos from previous months were better."

I will think, whether it is good or bad, of a cause. And in both cases, I am actually wrong, because there is not one cause but dozens of causes, or even more. And there are even combinations of causes,

And for the important aspects of our lives and the Authentic French Academy is clearly so for me, because it is the great project of my life, we must stop, we must think and calmly analyze all the causes. And it is applicable, the example that I have just given, in all areas. Whether they are successes or failures, successes and taiwan whatsapp number data failures at school for example, at work, in our private lives, most of the economic problems that we hear about on the radio are in fact caused or in any case have different causes as their origin. It is the same for geopolitics.

And that's why I like, for example, regarding the economy, I really like the economist François Lenglet that we see, He has a podcast that I recommend, which is great, on RTL. Moreover, he is someone who speaks slowly and clearly. So for a non-French speaker, it's a very good source, François Lenglet, who has a podcast on RTL, and we sometimes see him on French television.

But what I like about him is that this economist will always... he won't tell you: "Well, there's such a problem, there's an unemployment problem, so here's the cause." He will always look for all the causes, he will give elements to understand well and he doesn't fall into the human bias of thinking that a phenomenon has a single cause.

And also, tell me: "But wait, Johan. Why are you telling me all this? How is it useful?" It is useful because it allows us not to be so naive as to think that a single action will solve a complex problem. Because when we say to ourselves: "a problem has a cause", well that means I only have to take one action. One action, I solve this problem and I no longer have a problem. And that pushes us to look for a magic recipe where there is none in fact.

The world is super complex and the solution to apply, in case of a problem, it will certainly be simple, but finding it will be complex. It is counterintuitive, but it is very important to understand. The world is complex, so the solution to apply will be simple to solve your problem, but finding the solution will be complex. It is counterintuitive.
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